In the beginning, there was order, a very hot singularity, but as time progressed the universe expanded and cooled--and became more disorderly. Scientists predict a "big freeze." It's all due to entropy. As you read this blog, entropy continues. Why? That's what we will explore below. First, let's define the variables we will use:
We begin with the partition function, which has the Boltzmann factor, an exponent with a thermodynamic beta power over the base e:
If we want to determine the probabilities of the energies in a system, we make sure the probabilities add up to 1, so we normalize the partition function by dividing it by itself (Z):
However, if we want to model the universe's evolution, we need to make a slight change to the partition function. Instead of using the thermodynamic beta, we use its reciprocal. We also change the i index to a time (t) index:
Also, we want the universe's total energy to be conserved. We know dark energy is increasing and radiation energy is decreasing, so we put together an energy-conservation equation:
At equation 5, notice how an increase in the universe's volume (V) reduces the radiation energy (Er) but increases the dark energy (pV). Multiply the two energies, add a little dark and baryonic matter, and take the square root and we get a constant energy (E).
We define temperature as follows:
As volume (V) increases, the universe's temperature decreases. Equation 7 below gives us the probability of the temperature at a given time t:
A high temperature has a low probability. A low temperature has a high probability. So there is a high probability the universe's temperature will continue to decrease, and a low probability the temperature will increase. Thus, an expanding universe has a higher probability.
Now, let's take a look at entropy. We define it as follows:
We see that entropy increases as temperature decreases--so it has the same probability as temperature:
So why does entropy happen? Greater entropy has a higher probability than lower entropy. We can also say that reverse entropy is possible but less probable. A good example is the one Tyson discussed in the above video. There are pockets of order caused by star energy, so life is possible.